Tuesday, June 14, 2011

Gold - as volatile as any currency

GDX does look bad, thinking about closing out some gold miners, BUT

I am not joking here, irrevant is as irreverant does, however, the "Egg bounce" is indeed now a pattern.  Others have used ellipses, but I have documented so many Egg bounces, I trade them now.

If gold rallies, mostly likely, very likely means dollar falls.   Could mean that equities make their run up too, unless the gold rally is a substantial flight for fear, and then maybe most asset classes get sold.   But honestly, even with all the black swans, the chances of that happening are maybe 20%.  

Short Euro....still, after taking a beating last night.   Now nicely green, did get stopped on some of my posistion, 40% of 500k to be exact, but there is still a boatload of air beneath that chart structure.

Gold Egg Bounce.   Note the "Embryo Poke" seems very common as the start of the bounce.

2 comments:

  1. Gold is pretty stable priced in the only other currency that matters...  Oil.  Check it out.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Another freekin ratio chart.....no problem coming right up as a new post!   great idea methinks

    ReplyDelete

Insightful and Useful Comment!