Saturday, June 4, 2011

VOS Indicator In Detail, Comparison Chart to SPX

Comments please.
Keep in mind this is an advertising supported blog.   This stuff takes quite a bit of time.  Usually I see about 400 visitors, 3 comments, and maybe 4 advertising visits.   There is one way to keep this blog free, you know what I mean?   Thanks!

Same Thing but "Full Size" click on the image for more detail.

VOS by HawaiiTrading

And finally, right above here..... a download link for the full size picture.

In reply to Bucky, on a different post, here is the detailed candle fractal version of the chart, and you can see why Dec 2010 and Mar 2011 were indeed different from the double bottom dip. The Double dip that worked int he past were within a month or so from each other. Dec 2010 and Mar 2011 were just singularities.

SPY Fractal

Interesting SPY fractal below, however, the upsloping bottom trend line is not explained.

However, the current predicted move for SPY down to 124 would be a 5% to 6% drop

Orig Chart here

K9 version here

And here is the current VOS Chart in large size

Friday, June 3, 2011

Steam from the floor of the reactor building at 3000 to 4000 mSv per hour

The average person gets 100, maybe 200 mSv radiation in their lifetime.   And cancer is one of the major killers of humans.

I believe that what they are saying by this video, is that, Ruh-Roh, the corium has escaped beneath the reactor building floor, and is heating and highly irradiating the water, 3000 msV per HOUR!!!!!

Once retired looking expert guy previously suggested a 50 foot deep trench all around the reactor complex, and then fill with concrete.   Very logistically difficult even in "normal conditions" with lots of cheap labor and otherwise easy working conditions.

This train wreck is nothing less than a crime against humanity.   They (TEPCO and gang) keep playing the story lines different, now the story will be ---all the damage was done in the first 1.5 hours, therefore all our later efforts were not to blame.  

It is hard to treat and guard against a continuously dispersed amount of long lived radioactive particles, which is what is happening.   A reverse osmosis system for your whole house water supply will help.   Around $2500 for raw equipment, plus installation, electrical, plumbing, space.    Long term electricity cost and occasional RO membrane replacement.  

The air should be pretty OK in the future, the Rad will accumulate in the soil, water, animals, plants.  

Food supply may be tough to deal with.   I don't know the answer.    A year or two of storage won't fix this problem.  

Check the video here:

Marty and Crawford, The Jail Bird and the Star Head


2 of my favorites calling for a top in mid June, the 13th and 15th to be exact.

Get ready for HBB to get a "mini-QE" to gun the market with.  

Martin Armstrong just got out of jail after being in jail for like 7 years on contempt of court. 
Will global stock markets or commodities crash on June 13th? It is a question being seriously asked by chartists around the world and followers of the eccentric economist Martin Armstrong whose 8.6-year business cycle points to this day for a major transition.
It would be easy to dismiss Armstrong as a crank if he had not been right so many times before with his modelling. As the ArabianMoney newsletter (click here) explains this month the theory fits the 1929 and 1987 Wall Street crashes, the 1989 Nikkei top, the 1994 S&P bottom, the 1998 Russian market top, the 2002 S&P market bottom and the 2008 stock market bottom.
 Arch Crawford is not just a "Star head", but a blend of financial astrologer and tech analyst.   Obviously, by the quote from his May newsletter, he is a bit of a political and history follower.

 “…There is no nation on earth powerful enough to accomplish our overthrow. …Our destruction, should it come at all, will be from another quarter. From the inattention of the people to the concerns of their government, from their carelessness and negligence, I must confess that I do apprehend some danger. I fear that they may place too implicit a confidence in their public servants, and fail properly to scrutinize their conduct; that in this way they may be made the dupes of designing men, and become the instruments of their own undoing.”-Daniel Webster 1837
Hmmm...1837....what else happened that year?

Check this 10 minute review of US History for the answer
Here is Arch's recent comment.  

JUN 6 = Next CP newsletter. JUN 8 = Down in both Stock and Metals – May be a temporary low, at least in metals.
JUN 15 = Total Lunar Eclipse = This series of eclipses can be turning dates in many markets, and likely more Earthquakes +/-4 days!

I can give you a free link to his May Newsletter if you drop a comment or email me at


$NYMO - Daily Area

$NYMO - Daily Area: "



Volatility on Steroids - Holy Grail

Hawaii Trading pointed out these fractals last Wednesday, and predicted a whippy ramp followed by a sharp drop.   How true that became!   Below the chart is the link to the original chart.

That lower orange line is like a multiyear line in the sand.   It images better than Vix alone.

Funny the VOS appears to be an amazing indicator, and yet have never had a single comment on it.   I guess people don't like Steroids?

Earlier post on VOS

Short the Euro, Short the Nikkei (more)

What an incredible "gimme" to short the "Fiber" on Sunday open.   1st chart, open it up!

Like this stuff--sign up as a follower, haven't got even 5 new followers in 5 weeks, at least I someone is checking out this work, it does take time.   And don't feel shy about checking out any advert's on this page, it helps the Stockcharts fund!

Thursday, June 2, 2011

ZeroHedge GDP and Shenanighans

Do like the ZeroHedge, even with the extra "juice" they sometimes slant articles with.  

TD wrote:

Can We Please Stop Pretending the GDP Is "Growing"?
The Federal Government borrowed and spent $5.1 trillion to get $700 billion in total GDP "growth" from 2008-2011. In constant dollars, there was no growth at all.

The Federal government borrowed and spent $5.1 trillion over the past four years to generate a cumulative $700 billion increase in the nation's GDP. That means we've borrowed and spent $7.28 for every $1 of nominal "growth" in GDP.

In constant dollars, GDP is flat: we got no growth at all for our $5.1 trillion: zip, zero, nada. In constant dollars, the GDP in 2011 might return to the 2007 level, if the economy continues "growing" at the same pace reached in the first three months of 2011. If not, then the GDP will actually be lower than pre-recession levels.

My response.

It is actually worse than just a "bad investment".
Because Gov spending is directly added into GDP, if they borrowed 7T and got 7T more in GDP, then that would be a "bad investment" with a yield of zero. 

They are just pissing money away, our money, in poorly allocated form that produces nearly nothing in the way of organic growth.   Sure there is some "shot in the arm effect",  but it ought to be much higher is money were properly spent/invested in things that really matter in the short, medium, and long term.

Market On Edge

Tending toward the long slant on S&P 500, and bought long last night.   Lost a few points so far.   But the bad part is that the PRS 177 channel line appears to have lost support.

The move now to watch is a backtest of the PRS 177, which could immediately lead to a large down turn, well 2% to 3%.     As usual, day job getting in the way of watching during a potentially critical juncture.  

British Cable might be operating in this channel that I spied last night, but it is very broad, so not sure it is a "Good Channel", worth watching not worth speculating on.

Wednesday, June 1, 2011

VOS is very consistent

Check this ratio, it is very nice

Long based on PRS channels

The PRS channels are the strongest indicators I have.   I am hoping for a little more drop...a final ping off the PRS 177 channel support, for a long.

A tightly watched long.

As we wrote just yesterday.....Of course, US indices rally with Euro, solid correlation.

Amazing how an apparent event, like taking some stress off uncertainty with Greece, will result in a Euro rally.   Surely this can only be a "false rally", a move meant to shake people out of positions.
And the USD gapping down twice, because, huh?   Because Euro-land will print more quickly than USA?

The "Bat wing" can definitely bounce up tomorrow, but it "should resolve downward", so if I do enter long it will be very tenuous.

Leaning Tower of Fukushima

I believe this leaning picture to simply a camera adjustment error.   However, if I was TEPCO, and this picture is exactly from TEPCOs live cam today, I would adjust the camera so it didn't give the impression the whole plant was falling over.   That whole ground over there has to be so saturated, that it could act like  Jello in another quake.  

They have been lying for months.   Truly a crime against DNA.   3 or 4 more of these and the earth won't be worth living on, even if you could live.

Here is a link to their webcam.

The moon has clearly marked turn points in the indices, except last year during the 2 major "pushes up" in which markets were pushed upward 80% by futures at nighttime and weekends. Bernanke points to the level of the stock market as "success" in spending trillions. What a joke.

Tuesday, May 31, 2011

China Bailout, 10% of their GDP

 I would say, this IS big, China Bailout

Followed by what...well of course, the ability for Chinese municipalities to issue their own debt.

Bailout good for Euro !!!!! Yeah!!! Charts for Post Holiday Short Week

Amazing how an apparent event, like taking some stress off uncertainty with Greece, will result in a Euro rally.   Surely this can only be a "false rally", a move meant to shake people out of positions.
And the USD gapping down twice, because, huh?   Because Euro-land will print more quickly than USA?

I think you will like some of these, curious though, how any of my readers would interpret some of these?

Appreciate any interpretations, please take 5 minutes


Monday, May 30, 2011

Fear Factor (FF) and Asset Class Total (ACT)

SPY Killer

What would you think about making $35,000 per $100,000 of trading account?   AND only having to run 17 trades per year, and it is always buy on close or sell at open, with plenty of warning.

It "ain't cheap" at $100 per month,  but if you think about it maybe that is cheap.
That would beat the heck out of being a slave to a terminal  for 200 days a year.

Below is from Breakpoint Trades

You are getting access to a "Professional Level" System:
The SPY system that you are subscribing to is a professional level system that you have access to for pennies on the dollar. We were advised NOT to offer this system at Breakpoint Trades by some of my friends in the hedge fund business who advised us to only make it available to professional traders and hedge funds. However, it has always been a goal of ours to give members of BPT access to a trading system like this which trades the S&P 500 and does 12 - 20 trades a year!

Here is the bad part....they are fully subscribed for the SPY system, although general membership is open.  I do correspond directly with the operators of BPT, so if I get any hints of them opening up the SPY system to new membership, I will post here.

Here is BPT's SPY description--

The general membership can make you a bunch of money.   My "day job" has made it pretty impossible to "day trade", but I have jumped onto a few individual stock watchlist ideas, some of my own, like VALE, but also just grabbing some from the BPT watchlists has been really effective also.  

Just last week, I did a 3 day trade from the BPT Trade Ideas that netted over $1200 in profits, 10% in 3 days.   See here--

Some of these trade ideas are pretty illiquid, so you kind of have to be watchful, without running too tight of stops, as few things are as destructive to profits that overly tight stops.

BUT -- If you are going to join up, please return here to Hawaii Trading and use the signup link on the upper left.    They give me credits, and that helps, since the normal cost is $100 per month.  If you sign up using this link, it doesn't cost you anymore, and it does help defray one of my costs.  

Sign a Petition to Reinstate Radiation Testing