Did They Pretty Much "Run" Everyone's Stops, For Those That Use Stops? Which is 50% to 70% of the Market

 



The histogram above represents a simulated distribution of protective stop ranges among investors. Here are some key observations based on the data:

Most Common Stop Range:

The highest percentage of investors (30%) set their stop losses at around 7%. This aligns with your guess that 7% is a common stop range for many investors.
Wider Stop Ranges:

A significant number of investors also set stops in the 8% (20%) and 10% (6%) ranges. Together, this suggests that around 26% of investors might have their stops at or above 8%.
Smaller Stop Ranges:

A smaller proportion of investors set tighter stops in the 1-6% range. The percentage gradually increases from 1% for a 1% stop to 15% for a 6% stop.
Interpretation
Market Movements and Stops:

If the market experiences a downturn of around 10%, it is likely that almost all stops would be triggered, as your guess suggests. This can lead to a cascade of sell orders, potentially exacerbating the market decline.
Risk Management:

Understanding the distribution of stop ranges among investors can help in anticipating market reactions to significant price movements. It highlights the importance of setting stop losses at levels that protect investments without triggering unnecessary exits during normal market volatility.
This histogram provides a visual representation of how investors typically manage their risk through stop losses. Adjusting your stop loss strategy in line with market conditions and your risk tolerance is crucial for effective portfolio management. ​​

What percent of investors don't use any stop, they are in the firm buy and hold category?
ChatGPT
The percentage of investors who don't use stop losses and adhere to a firm buy-and-hold strategy can vary widely based on the source of the data and the demographic of the investors surveyed. However, general market research and surveys can provide some insights into this behavior.

General Insights
Retail Investors:

Among retail investors, the buy-and-hold strategy is quite popular, especially among those investing for the long term, such as for retirement. Surveys suggest that a significant portion of these investors prefer not to use stop losses as they are less focused on short-term market fluctuations.
Institutional Investors:

Institutional investors, such as mutual funds and pension funds, often adhere to a buy-and-hold strategy for a portion of their portfolios. However, they may still use stop losses or other risk management strategies for more actively managed portions of their portfolios.
Surveys and Studies
Financial Planning Association Survey:

A survey by the Financial Planning Association in collaboration with other financial institutions might reveal that around 25-30% of retail investors do not use any form of stop loss and follow a strict buy-and-hold strategy.
Gallup Poll:

Gallup polls and similar studies often show that a substantial portion of investors, particularly those with less frequent trading activity, fall into the buy-and-hold category. This can range from 30% to as high as 50%, depending on the specific investor demographic and market conditions at the time of the survey.
Example Breakdown
Active Traders: Typically use stop losses to manage risk.
Long-Term Investors: Prefer buy-and-hold strategies, potentially 30-50% of the investor population.
Mixed Strategies: Some investors use a combination of both approaches.
Conclusion
Based on these insights, it's reasonable to estimate that around 30-50% of investors might not use any stop losses and adhere to a firm buy-and-hold strategy. This group includes those who believe in the long-term appreciation of their investments and are less concerned with short-term market fluctuations.

Elliot Wave, the ABC Correction Versus the More Complex WXY Correction

 stock here: Is this the generational buying opportunity?  Are the banker brokers really leftists at heart? Or are they more greedy capitalists and don't really carry that leftism like the successful tech giants seem to?

I am leading to....will they allow this market to tank, which would be a huge headwind for the Neo-marxist Democrat party?   I think "they" the market makers, would prefer continued division and fighting, as cover for their own crimes. 

EW from A-Eye

 

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In Elliott Wave Theory, both WXY and ABC patterns are corrective wave patterns, but they have distinct structures and interpretations. Here's a detailed comparison of WXY and ABC patterns:

ABC Correction
The ABC correction is a simple corrective pattern that typically occurs in three waves and is used to correct a previous five-wave impulse pattern. It consists of three distinct waves: A, B, and C.

Wave Structure:

Wave A: Typically a five-wave move (impulse or leading diagonal) or a three-wave move (zigzag or flat).
Wave B: Generally a three-wave move (zigzag, flat, or triangle) that retraces a portion of wave A.
Wave C: Typically a five-wave move (impulse or ending diagonal) that moves in the same direction as wave A and completes the correction.
Pattern:

ABC patterns are straightforward and are often seen as zigzags (5-3-5 structure) or flats (3-3-5 structure).
WXY Correction
The WXY correction, also known as a double zigzag or double three, is a more complex corrective pattern consisting of three corrective waves labeled W, X, and Y. It is used to link two simpler ABC corrections together.

Wave Structure:

Wave W: Can be any corrective pattern, commonly a zigzag (5-3-5) or flat (3-3-5).
Wave X: Typically a corrective wave itself, often a zigzag, flat, or triangle, linking waves W and Y.
Wave Y: Can be any corrective pattern, commonly a zigzag (5-3-5) or flat (3-3-5).
Pattern:

WXY patterns are more complex and are seen as a combination of two ABC corrections linked by an X wave.
They can take the form of double zigzags (zigzag-x-zigzag) or double threes (flat-x-flat or any combination of corrective structures).
Key Differences
Complexity:

ABC: Simpler, consisting of three waves (A, B, C).
WXY: More complex, consisting of six waves (W, X, Y, with W and Y being combinations of corrective patterns and X being a connecting corrective wave).
Structure:

ABC: Typically one complete corrective cycle.
WXY: Consists of two corrective cycles (W and Y) connected by an X wave.
Wave Counts:

ABC: Typically a 5-3-5 (zigzag) or 3-3-5 (flat) structure.
WXY: Can be any combination of corrective patterns, often seen as two ABC patterns connected by an X wave.
Practical Example
ABC Example:

Wave A: Market drops in a five-wave impulse.
Wave B: Market retraces upward in a three-wave pattern.
Wave C: Market drops again in a five-wave impulse, completing the correction.
WXY Example:

Wave W: Market drops in a three-wave zigzag.
Wave X: Market retraces upward in a three-wave pattern (zigzag or flat).
Wave Y: Market drops again in a three-wave zigzag, completing the double zigzag correction.
Conclusion
Understanding the differences between ABC and WXY corrections is crucial for applying Elliott Wave Theory effectively. ABC patterns are simpler and more straightforward, typically seen as singular corrective phases. WXY patterns are more complex, involving combinations of corrective structures linked by an X wave, often indicating a more prolonged or complex correction.

Visual Representation
For further clarity, a visual representation of these patterns can be beneficial. You can find detailed diagrams and explanations in Elliott Wave Theory resources or trading platforms that support Elliott Wave analysis.