Saturday, August 20, 2011

USD Launch Upward!

Quants can easily recognize simple geometric patterns, and fake them out, blow them up, etc.

They aren't yet blowing up the "egg launch", this should launch upward and strongly.    Bearish for Equities.  Bearish for Gold.  

Equities also look ready to plunge, and Gold has simply gone parabolic (classic parabola look).    Really considering some puts on GLD, 2 months out.  

So everything is setup to move big, USD up, Equities Down, Gold down.

Strange but I get suspicious when everything is "so perfect".    Big labor day weekend on Sept 5, HBB loves to make a big move on these long weekends.    However, the perched on the egg launch, perched to collapse chart scenarios are more immediate than that.  


Comet Earthquake

See post below, surprised that I didn't get a single comment.    2 more 7 plus earthquakes happened today, thank God not in Japan!


Thursday, August 18, 2011

Comet Honda? Causing Earthquakes?

http://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/sbdb.cgi?sstr=45P%2FHonda-Mrkos-Pajdusakova;orb=1;cov...

Chart is from NASA



Historical Highlights
·  The first parabolic orbit was calculated by L. E. Cunningham using positions obtained up to December 9. He determined the perihelion date as 1948 November 20.40. The first elliptical orbit was calculated by A. Schmitt, using positions from December 8, 11, and 14. The result was a perihelion date of November 18.49 and a period of 7.10 years. Schmitt noted, "The elements present a certain similarity to Biela's comet." Additional elliptical orbits were calculated by Schmitt, Cunningham, and G. Merton. These indicated a perihelion date of November 17.7–17.8 and a period of 5.00–5.31 years. Following observations at later apparitions, the perihelion date proved to have been November 17.72 and the period was 5.22 years. The comet passed 0.08 AU from Jupiter on 1935 August 15, at which time it was put into its discovery orbit.
·  The appearance of 1974-1975 was the comet's best return since it had been discovered. It had passed perihelion on 1974 December 28 and then passed closest to Earth on 1975 February 4 (0.2344 AU). The result was that it reached a maximum magnitude of 7.5 in January.
·  The comet's best appearance to date came during the apparition of 1995-1996. This was the comet's 8th appearance since its discovery. It had passed closest to the sun on 1995 December 25 (0.5319 AU) and passed closest to Earth on 1996 February 6 (0.1702 AU). During the last few days of December the total magnitude was estimated as around 6.5. The comet entered the sun's glare thereafter, and passed only 4.3 degrees from the sun on January 15. It was photographed by the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) from January 9 to 18. The comet was about magnitude 7.5 when it emerged from the sun's glare in late January. The comet appeared to have faded rapidly during March. It had faded to magnitude 9 by the 11th and was just slightly brighter than 11 on the 16th.
·  Close approaches to planets: This comet made 11 close approaches to Earth and 2 close approaches to Jupiter during the 20th century. It makes 1 close approach to Venus, 5 close approaches to Earth, and 1 close approach to Jupiter during the first half of the 21st century. (From the orbital work of Kazuo Kinoshita)
  • 0.62 AU from Earth on 1900 July 31
No Big Earthquake
·         ·  1901 12 18 - Ayvalik, Turkey (Ottoman Empire) - M 5.9
·         ·  1899 09 20 - Menderes Valley, Turkey - M 6.9 Fatalities 1,100

  • 0.64 AU from Earth on 1906 March 20
Big Earthquake 4 days prior
·         ·  1907 01 14 - Kingston, Jamaica - M 6.5 Fatalities 1,000
·         ·  1906 08 17 - Valparaiso, Chile - M 8.2 Fatalities 3,882
·         ·  1906 03 16 - Chia-i, Taiwan - M 6.8 Fatalities 1,250
·         ·  1905 09 08 - Calabria, Italy - M 7.9 Fatalities 557
·         ·  1905 07 09 - Mongolia - M 8.4

  • 0.26 AU from Earth on 1917 January 16
Bali Earthquake, 4 days after the Honda Comet
·         ·  1917 07 30 - Yunnan, China - M 7.5 Fatalities 1,800
·         ·  1917 01 20 - Bali, Indonesia Fatalities 1,500



  • 0.35 AU from Earth on 1927 November 24
Big Earthquake 1 week after Honda comet
  •  
·         ·  1929 05 01 - Koppeh Dagh, Iran (Persia) - M 7.4 Fatalities 3,800
·         ·  1928 12 01 - Talca, Chile - M 7.6 Fatalities 225
  •  
  • 0.08 AU from Jupiter on 1935 August 15
    • decreased perihelion distance from 0.64 AU to 0.58 AU
    • decreased orbital period from 5.53 to 5.27 years
    •  
  • 0.83 AU from Earth on 1943 July 12
NO Big Earthquakes
·         ·  1944 02 01 - Gerede, Turkey - M 7.4 Fatalities 2,790
·         ·  1944 01 15 - San Juan, Argentina - M 7.4 Fatalities 8,000
·         ·  1943 11 26 - Ladik, Turkey - M 7.6 Fatalities 4,000
·         ·  1943 11 03 - Skwenta, Alaska - M 7.4
·         ·  1943 09 10 - Tottori, Japan - M 7.4 Fatalities 1,190
·         ·  1943 04 06 - Illapel - Salamanca, Chile - M 8.2 Fatalities 25
·         ·  1943 01 30 - Yanaoca, Peru Fatalities 200
·         ·  1942 12 20 - Erbaa, Turkey - M 7.3 Fatalities 1,100
·         ·  1942 11 26 - Turkey - M 7.6 Fatalities 4,000

  • 0.43 AU from Earth on 1948 November 16 (contributed to comet's discovery)
·         Big Earthquake 6 days prior
·          
·         ·  1947 05 06 - Wisconsin
·         ·  1946 08 04 - Samana, Dominican Republic - M 8.0 Fatalities 100
·         ·  1946 05 31 - Ustukran, Turkey - M 5.9 Fatalities 1,300

  • 0.59 AU from Earth on 1954 March 15
Big Earthquake 2 weeks after Honda Comet
  •  
·         ·  1954 09 09 - Orleansville, Algeria - M 6.8 Fatalities 1,250
·         ·  1954 04 30 - Greece - M 7.1 Fatalities 31
·         ·  1954 03 29 - Spain - M 7.9
·         ·  1953 12 12 - Tumbes, Peru - M 7.4 Fatalities 7
·         ·  1953 08 12 - Kefallinia, Greece - M 7.1 Fatalities 455

  • 0.30 AU from Earth on 1969 August 11
A 5.9 earthquake, smallish, and 2 weeks before.
·         ·  1969 12 25 - Guadeloupe, Leeward Islands - M 7.2
·         ·  1969 10 01 - Comas region, Chile - M 6.4 Fatalities 136
·         ·  1969 07 25 - Guangdong, China - M 5.9 Fatalities 3,000
·         ·  1969 03 28 - Alasehir, Turkey - M 6.4 Fatalities 11
·         ·  1969 02 28 - Portugal-Morocco area - M 7.8 Fatalities 13
·          
  • 0.23 AU from Earth on 1975 February 5
  • Big Earthquakes 3 days prior and 1 day prior
  •  
·         ·  1975 03 02 - Eastern Idaho - M 6.2
·         ·  1974 10 08 - Leeward Islands - M 7.5

  • 0.11 AU from Jupiter on 1983 March 26
    • decreased perihelion distance from 0.58 AU to 0.54 AU
    • increased orbital period from 5.28 to 5.30 years
  •  
  • 0.29 AU from Earth on 1990 August 1
  • No big earthquakes
·  1990 07 16 - Luzon, Philippine Islands - M 7.7 Fatalities 1,621
·  1990 06 20 - Western Iran - M 7.4 Fatalities 50,000
  • ·  1990 01 13 - Maryland - M 2.5
  •  
  • 0.17 AU from Earth on 1996 February 4
  • No big earthquakes
·  1996 06 10 - Andreanof Islands, Alaska - M 7.9
·  1995 06 15 - Greece - M 6.5 Fatalities 26
·  1995 05 27 - Sakhalin Island - M 7.1 Fatalities 1,989
·  1995 05 13 - Greece - M 6.6
·  1995 02 03 - Wyoming - M 5.3 Fatalities 1
  • 0.09 AU from Venus on 2006 June 4

  • 0.06 AU from Earth on 2011 August 15
Big Earthquake 6.8, Japan, Honshu (Fukushima)
_________________________________________________The future
  • 0.09 AU from Earth on 2017 February 11
  • 0.57 AU from Earth on 2027 July 20
  • 0.17 AU from Jupiter on 2030 August 3
    • increased perihelion distance from 0.56 AU to 0.63 AU
    • increased orbital period from 5.34 to 5.52 years
  • 0.37 AU from Earth on 2032 November 6
  • 0.39 AU from Earth on 2043 November 21