Thursday, January 9, 2014

The Russell with Irrational Exuberance

After a steep climb from what is now going on 5 freaking year, out of the March 11 2009 the Russell has left the steep channel and it pounding up in an every steeper channel.

This is surely the sign of a pullback coming, but just arbitrarily shorting this market has been just deadly.    I will set some "sell below orders" and of course miss some or much of the move.

It is such a shame that the Big Gov is in such a predicament that they have to act like this.   

Monday, January 6, 2014

10 Commandments

God went to the Arabs and said,
'I have Commandments for you that will make your lives better.'

The Arabs asked, 'What are Commandments?'
And the Lord said, 'They are rules for living.'

'Can you give us an example?'
'Thou shall not kill.'
'Not kill? We're not interested.'

So He went to the Blacks and said, 'I have Commandments.'
The Blacks wanted an example, and the Lord said,
'Honor thy Father and Mother.'
'Father? We don't always know who our fathers are..
We're not interested.'

Then He went to the Mexicans and said,
'I have Commandments.'
The Mexicans also wanted an example, and the Lord said 'Thou shall not steal.'
'Not steal? We're not interested.'

Then He went to the French and said,
'I have Commandments.'
The French too wanted an example and the Lord said, 'Thou shall not commit adultery.'
'Sacre bleu!!! Not commit adultery? We're not interested.'

Finally, He went to the Jews and said,
'I have Commandments ....'
'Commandments?' They said, 'How much are they?'
'They're free.'
'We'll take 10.'

There. That should piss off just about everybody.
Keep smiling in the New Year!!

Thursday, January 2, 2014

Global Warming Scientists Stuck in Irony (I mean Ice)

Funny how Main Stream Media completely misses the Irony.

These scientists, on a ship to go "prove" global warming got stuck in the Ice.

Someone forgot to tell them that Global Warming is a farce meant to transfer wealth through various cap and trade schemes. AND that we have record levels of ice this year.  

But Chris Turney, a professor of climate change at Australia’s University of New South Wales, said it was “silly” to suggest he and 73 others aboard the MV Akademic Shokalskiy were trapped in ice they’d sought to prove had melted. He remained adamant that sea ice is melting, even as the boat remained trapped in frozen seas.

Or maybe their handlers told them to go out of their way to cover up the real purpose of the mission.  Seems obvious, as the chief explicitly says there goal is to prove global warming, and he has some other choice words......

Turney later told the ice surrounding his ship is old, rather than recently formed, and likely from a particular 75 mile-long  iceberg that broke apart three years ago. Climate change may have prompted the iceberg to shatter and float into the previously open sea where the mostly Australian team finds itself stranded, Turney said.

Makes you same hmmmmmm

“Cute how these Warmists who hate fossil fuels take a trip to the Antarctic to show just how horrible fossil-fueled climate change is, then need rescue from their fossil-fueled trip by other fossil-fueled ships and helicopters, which still can’t rescue them,” wrote one blogger on Pirate’s Cove.

As we get pelted with snow in the strongest and hardest hitting winter in 3 decades, I ponder the meaning of global warming in the context massive volcanoes going off this year (cooling effect), sunspots abnormalities (cooling effect).    I think it is safe to say "climate change" is here, and widler weather than what we have seen the last 50 years is coming.     But I think it is also clear that in the past several thousand years, there are plenty of examples of extreme weather, and that just recently (50 years) we have been blessed with fairly steady weather.   

See what happens to food quantities after a few years of horrible weather.   And food prices.

I love how these "scientists" who completely flubbed prediction of the solar minimums that have been occurring, now "understand" what happened and why and by inventing a "new type of cycle", they can continue to steadfastly say that Global Warming is coming.

Hilariously, they state

According to the Gleissberg cycle, the next solar maximum – in about 2024 – will probably be a dud too, but then cycles will become more energetic once again, and any cooling effect the brief downturn has had on Earth's climate will also vanish. it will probably be cool until 2024, but then don't worry....our new Cycle predicts that it will warm up after that!

Sunday, December 22, 2013

3 Peaks and a Domed house

We visited this a few weeks ago, playing out nicely.

End of the World....sell in May, LOL.

And Merry Christmas, By The Way.     Be careful what you wish for, you might just get it.

 Not my dogs!!

My Dogs

Wednesday, December 18, 2013

After Expiry, Santa will Show Up

This Friday is expiry.   Usually the big moves are done by Wednesday, and then just pumps and dumps on Thursday and Friday to shake out weak hands.

But methinks we get more downside here, into Friday, to burn bulls.     And then the Santa rally.   I was going to do this study, and then saw someone else already did, yeah!     Here it is.

Monday, December 16, 2013

Middle Class About to be Crushed

This is some pretty good original work.

Going direct to the source data, not just a he said, she said "conspiracy".

The data comes from the Social Security Administration

All the work by Hawaii Trading.     This may be reproduced, but ONLY when giving full credit to Hawaii Trading AND a link to this blog post.

Source data

Middle Class About to be Crushed

Well, there is one other option:  The Government could decide to make itself smaller, and force ex Government employees into productive jobs, and to bring home all the Military and put them to work building out a new national infrastructure including a modern power grid.   Restoring the Constitution and the Rule of Law would also go a long way towards towards building an Organically Growing society/jobs and business. 

I won't be Holden my breath!

ES Sunday night Shenanigans

Saturday, December 14, 2013

Rant on "My Caller ID has been Hijacked!"

For 3 weeks, people I have been calling have been saying, hey whats up with your phone, your caller ID says Thomas Lotter.   This could be very disturbing to a potential business client, or an existing client who would be wondering what the heck is up….what didn’t you pay your phone bill, now you have to borrow a phone?


I called ATT, big run around as usual. 30 minutes invested.

After talking to a flunky, who said it’s the other carriers problem and that she couldn’t do anything.    She said you have to talk to the “other carriers”.    How many others “I don’t know”.    How can I get a hold of them and what do I say to them?  “I can’t help you with that, it’s the other carriers problem”.   No it’s my problem because potential clients could be very turned off or not even answer the phone if they see an incorrect caller ID.      “There is nothing we can do Sir”

Since the flunky didn’t even have good lies, I asked if she could detail my whole issue to the supervisor so the supervisor could not just call me back, but call me back with an answer.  She said her message system only allowed about 50 characters, all she could say was “customer caller ID not correct”

She had  supervisor call me back 2 hours later (not bad for a Saturday)

She said its not ATT fault, its those other “carriers” who didn’t update their records.

In explaining to her that it is not an update problem, but that is was correct ID and then became incorrect ID.

She said that their database department has sent a request to Time Warner to update their database.    I see….so there is something that ATT can do…..

I asked how.    She said that she had sent an email to ATT database people.  
I asked how did she know that ATT database people sent the request to TW database?

She said, oh it probably didn’t happen yet.
I asked if I could get a record of her request to ATT database people, she said no, that is internal correspondence.

I asked if I could get a phone number for ATT database people so I could verify when they sent the request.   She said the database people don’t talk to customers on the phone.
I asked for an email to the ATT database people, she stated that is proprietary protected information.

I asked her to confirm that the TW database people received the request, she stated she couldn’t do that.

I asked her for a phone or email to the TW database people.      She said she didn’t have that information.

I asked her to check up in 7 to 10 business days, and report back to me if TW updated their records.     She said they don’t provide that service.  

I said what if it get lost in the process, and I lose 2 customers who are put off by having a fake name show up on caller ID, then what-- I call back after 10 days and go through the whole shenanigans again>?   “We can’t control their database Sir”

She continued, I just had another client who had the same type of problem with TW caller ID.        So they are trained to use a deflection….don’t worry because lots of people are screwed just like you.

She said I could call back to ATT in 7 to 10 days to check on things if I liked.  

And these companies make 40% profit margin, whilst most “real” businesses that are not monopolies who capture their government regulators, are happy to end up with 8% to 10%.   They only have to pretend they have any respect for their “captive audience”

Rant Out

Then, after never being able to remember an email from ATT, I receive this 2 minutes after I post up my blog rant.    Wow!

Friday, December 13, 2013

Gold and Silver are Becoming Hated

It's odd for sure, when fundamentals don't work for years at a time.    Some call them "funnymentals"

But I have seen several articles lately on how Gold is going to $500, Gold going below $1000.

I am afraid to even see what Elliot Wave International might be pimping out.

And GDX, HUI, and GDXJ have been removed from the woodshed, and taken to the cesspool for an additional soaking.


This is the time I am looking to buy Gold.

Palladium is always on my radar, it does well in everything but a Madmax scenario, which honestly, is less than 4% chance of happening.    Plenty of SHTF scenarios will result in far less damage than a MadMaxer.

All that said, Gold, Silver, Platinum, in a downtrend.    Palladium in an uptrend.   Ill do charts soon

I checked 5 ounce silver bars selling in bulk, 100 minimum and they were selling for 8% premium over melt.    Still seems high to me.    But then again, I was buying pre1964 silver coins for a 0.3% premium at one time.  What a deal!

Silver 1963 coins now selling at a 17% markup over melt.    Wow.    

And don't forget....upcoming bull market in pitchforks.    Its a job creator and job reducer, lol.

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Russell to break a channel and go down

Any questions, let me know.

Any comments?   Sheesh, no comments in a week, thats weak.

The Classics Fear Factor, Asset Class Total, Bond Indicator

They are implying up from here, but I still think this "shakeout" has not been big enough, tomorrow is expiry on options.     Killing the bulls is the most likely manuever methinks.