Up Down Volume Days

These only occur around 20% of the time lately.   But when they do, they are a no brainer, smack upside the head, blondie could figure it out type of signal.   

Let me know what you think....and hey looking for 5 new followers today, sign up using the box on the right side.   

GDX multi month long, and 2009 Summer ES Chart

 I drew the 3 magenta travel lines in April 2012

Does this ES chart from 2009 look bullish?   Not to me, not a bit.

Funny though, I don't remember a single maven saying, heh, you know....Bennie not just going to print, its going to work and raise all asset prices.  Regardless of fundamentals.  

Magnetic Pole shift

I first noticed the magnetic pole shift around 2006, being a pilot and a solar engineer I often took measurements, and for a while nothing was lining up the way it used to, so I tried a few different compasses.   I thought it strange, and I thought it stranger that no one was talking about it.   

I wouldn't say this was the "kick off" to my impression that things were getting wacky in the world.   Maybe the first was the doubling of property values in less than 2 years that let me get out from an underwater property to a nice profit.

But lets put it this way....the "experts" are often just making stuff up, to get their grant money and help their universities get federal funding.   

NASA is downplaying magnetic shift saying "it happens all the time", as are  other parrots of the "don't panic the sheep" cartel.   These things are suspicious.   The experts can all justify their actions by rationalizing that avoiding panic is better than dealing with what is going to happen anyway.  

Classic writing say that a north south magnetic pole shift happens every 320,000 years or so with wide variations, and that the last one was 700,000 years ago. 

However, some pretty credible data cross correlated from the Black Sea, the Laschamp event in the Massif Central, and Greenland data, and shows a "rapid" 250 year complete pole shift, around 41,000 years ago, followed by a european super volcano around 39,500 years ago.  

 http://phys.org/news/2012-10-extremely-reversal-geomagnetic-field-climate.html#nRlv

And let me throw this in....what about that really cool rise of Cro-Magnon man and epic cave paintings around 35,000 to 39,000?     Indeed, magnetic pole shift appears to occurs with a lessening of overall magnetic field, which allows more cosmic radiation in to the home planet, which allows for more DNA damage and the occasionally successful mutation that works better.    Saber toothed tigers probably kept the cancer rates in check pretty well.

We are in a period of very fast movement of the magnetic pole, and it appears the north pole has the itchy feet and the south pole is more stable.

But nothing to worry about....NASA says the pole flips "all the time", and other experts state that there is no evidence that a pole flip was harmful in the past (maybe check the IPhone data records), and that most people wouldn't even notice a pole flip.    Yeah, very reassuring, why don't you guy at least focus on detecting these 153,000 asteroids like the one that hit the earth in April 2012.    An amateur astronomer found it just days before it hit.

I have an article on this blog and, sorry, it can't be found, sometimes blogger search is an incredible joke that just doesn't work.

Another near miss

http://oahutrading.blogspot.com/2011/11/near-miss-asteroid.html

MEH girl, Hawaii Bikini Girl

Completely Gratuitous Fibonacci Curves

Free Silver! New Contest

First, if you like this stuff, please sign up as a follower, it is free, it is easy, and I might even feel like taking the time to continue providing free information and resources.   Second, talk to the Whale, LOL!

FREE 10 Ounce Silver Bar

OK they closed the November contest today.   And December is now open.   IMPORTANT to put your estimate in NOW, because only the first right guess to the penny, wins.    In September there were 4 winners and they handed out 4 silver bars, guess they got tired of that.

ENTER HERE---

 http://libertycpm.com/contests/

Here is my rational basis for my guess.     38.54, don't guess that one, I already did!

 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Found on "The Daily Sheeple" Website - I wonder why they didn't make it an even 20 ( 20 - Use a quality HEPA air filter in your living spaces, no joke, radioactivity in many places in the US is double what it was pre-Fukushima)

Getting your money out of any TBTF Bank is ONE thing that you can do. However, there are many, many other things that we all can do, too!
Here are just a few:

1) BOYCOTT – learn this concept well, and EMPLOY IT – against those enslaving you!
2) THINK for yourself. TURN OFF the IDIOT-BOX (TV) OR THROW IT AWAY!
3) QUESTION all ‘authority’ (Big Business/Government, Big Religion, Big Media, etc.)
4) Get out, and/or stay out, of DEBT!
5) USE CASH AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE. Avoid using credit, debit, and customer loyalty cards
6) Bank at a local credit union!
7) VOTE WITH YOUR DOLLARS! (What do you support, with your time, money, and energy?)
8) Contact your Representatives on critical issues: such as “END THE FED!”
9) Re-read the 2nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution. It isn’t about hunting. It’s about government tyranny, and protecting yourself from it!
10)Buy (products) Made in U.S.A. Buy Christmas gifts that are MADE IN U.S.A.! Preferably locally.
11)Invest in precious metals, primarily SILVER (and gold) bullion (coins, rounds, or bars).
12)Buy ORGANIC food! Support your local Organic Farmer, food store or Co-op!
13)Start your own garden using NON-GMO, non-hybrid seeds!
14)Pray or meditate – reduce your stress! Stress weakens your immune system – your last defense against disease! Try a hot tub, or a hot bath! RELAX! As John Lennon said: “There are no problems – only solutions!”
15)Read a book, you know, an actual book! Open your mind! Read: THE WORLD ORDER, by Eustace Mullins. Or, BLOOD, MONEY, AND POWER, By Barr McLellan.
16)Exercise your brain muscle!
17)Listen to soothing classical, jazz, ambient or other music you thoroughly enjoy!
18)CUT BACK ON OIL AND GAS CONSUMPTION!
19)Take a high quality daily multivitamin!

1400 important line in the sand

Support becomes resistance, we are now at the Bernoulli 100 channel.   The other side of this channel is my Polyanna Timmy and Bennie pump the market whilst TPTB capture their capital gains in 2012, which is a lower tax year than 2013

However, good chance this stay as resistance.   And the structure since August is really a Head and Shoulders and this is the backtest.   Which would be quote bearish.

Bill Bonner on Governments

This is some classic stuff from Bill Bonner!!
How Government “Works”

Bill BonnerThere are many theories to explain government. Most are nothing but scams, justifications, and puffery. One tries to put something over on the common man...the other claims it was for his own good...and the third pretends that he’d be lost without it. Most are not really ‘theories’ at all...but prescriptions, blueprints for creating the kind of government the ‘theorist’ would like to have. Not surprisingly, the blueprints flatter his intellect and engage his imagination.

The “social contract,” for example, is a fraud. You can’t have a contract unless you have two willing and able parties. They must come together in a meeting of the minds — a real agreement about what they are going to do together.

But what is the ‘social contract’ with government? There was never a meeting of the minds. The deal was forced on the public. And now, imagine that you want out. Can you simply “break the contract”? You refuse to pay your taxes and refuse to be bossed around by TSA agents and other government employees. How long would it be before you got put in jail?

What kind of contract is it that you don’t agree to and can’t get out of? They can dress it up...print out a piece of paper...have a solemn ceremony in which everyone pretends it is a real contract. But it’s not worth the paper it’s not written on.

Also, what kind of a contract allows for one party to unilaterally change the terms of the deal? Congress passes new laws almost every day. The bureaucracy issues new edicts. The tax system is changed. The pound of flesh they got already wasn’t enough; now they want a pound and a half!

Here are the critical questions: Why do we let other people tell us what to do; are we not all equal? What is the purpose of government? What does it cost and what benefits does it confer? A theory should explain something without reference to something else. That is, a metaphor doesn’t work. It’s just a description. If you say that government is a kind of ‘social contract,’ you are merely describing how it seems to you...or what you think it might be comparable to.

Let’s try a simpler insight: government is a natural phenomenon, an expression of power relationships, in which some people seek to dominate others by force. These dominators gather ‘insiders’ together so that they can take money, power and status away from other people, the ‘outsiders.’

Many people think that government provides some service. That is true, but it is incidental. Governments often deliver the mail. But they don’t have to. They would still be governments even if they didn’t control the Post Office. And what if they didn’t have a department of inland fisheries, or a program to teach retarded democrats to count to 20? They would still be in the government business...and still have their helicopters, chauffeurs and expense accounts. But if they lost control of the police or the army it would be an entirely different matter. Force is the essence of government, not a decorative detail. Without armies and police, they would no longer be governments, but voluntary associations like the Kiwanis Club or the Teamsters Union.

In 2012, the US faced a major presidential election. Several men came forward offering to take charge of the US government. What exactly were they going to take charge of?

Government is a fact. It exists. It is as common as stomach gas. It is as ubiquitous as lice and as inescapable as vanity. But what is it? Why is it? And what has it become?

We know very little about the actual origins of government. All we know, and this from the archeological records, is that one group often conquered another. There are skeletons more than 100,000 years old, showing the kind of head wounds that you get from fighting. We presume this meant that ‘government’ changed. Whoever had been in charge was chased out or murdered. Then, someone else was in charge.

Tribal groups, or even family groups for that matter, probably had “chiefs.” They could have been little more than bullies...or perhaps respected elders. Over the millennia there were probably as many different examples of primitive ‘government’ as there were tribes. Some elected their leaders. Some may have chosen them randomly, for all we know. Many probably simply conferred leadership by consensus. Some probably had no identifiable leaders at all. But it seems to be a characteristic of the human race that some people want to be in charge...and many people want someone to be in charge of them.

In adversity, there was probably an advantage to having a leader. Hunts were often collective enterprises. There were also group decisions to be made...about how food was stored up or rationed out, for example...that would affect the survival of the whole group. Under attack from another group, a strong, able leader could make the difference between life and death.

We can guess that people enter into leader/follower roles today because they are programmed for it by evolution. Those who can’t or won’t...well, perhaps they died out many millennia ago.

We don’t have to look back to the Last Glacial Period to see what happens in small political units. We can see them today. They are all around us. Every church has its governing board. Every community has some form of government. Every corporation...group...club...every place where humans get together seems to develop rules and power relationships. Leaders arise. Informal groups typically yield to the strong personality. Juries try to control it. Families resist it. Dinner parties try to avoid it.

But that’s just the way it is. Some people seek to dominate. Others like being dominated.

Trouble is, there is usually more than one person or one group that wants to do the dominating. This leads to conflict. Treachery. Murder. Rivalry. And elections. But let’s not get ahead of ourselves. We’re talking about the origins of government and trying to guess what they were like. On a small scale, we conclude, governments were both extremely variable in form...and extremely limited in scope. That is, how much governing can you get away with in a small group? Not much. You can boss people around, but they won’t take too much bossing. And there is always a rival bosser who is ready to topple the big boss if he should lose his popular support. In a tribal setting, we imagine that the strongest, fiercest warrior might have been able to set himself up as the governing authority. But he could be stabbed in the back as he slept...or even shot with an arrow in a ‘hunting accident.’ Even in the best of circumstances, his reign wouldn’t last much longer than his own strength.

In a small town, government proceeds tolerably well. There is not much distance between governors and the governed. The latter know where the former live...and how they live...and how little difference there is between them. If the governors overreach, they are likely to find themselves beaten in the next election...or in the middle of the street.

But as the scale increases...as the distance between the governed and the governors increases...and as the institutional setting grows and ages...government becomes a bigger deal. More formal. More powerful. It can begin governing more grandly.

The first large scale, long-term government we know about was in Egypt. After the unification of the upper and lower kingdoms in about 3,150 BC, the dynastic period began. It continued for two millennia, not ending until the Romans conquered Egypt in 30 BC. We don’t know exactly how government worked during those many centuries, but we know that a theory of government arose out of them. At the time, it was not considered a theory at all, but a fact. The ruler was divine. A god.

As a theory, it is a good one. It answers the question: why should you take orders from another human being? In Ancient Egypt, the question didn’t arise. Because Pharaoh was not another human being. He was something else. Precisely what he was...or what people thought he was...is not clear. But the archeological record shows that he was treated as though he was at least a step or two higher up on the ladder than the rest of us. If not a full god, he was at least a demi-god...on the mezzanine between Earth and Heaven.

If that was so...and who are we to doubt it?...the theory holds together perfectly well. The divine authority is transmitted from heaven to man via his intermediary...the pharaoh.

You might think that would be the end of the story. It was not. There were Asiatic settlers moving in the delta area — the Hyskos — who apparently had a different idea. And the Thebans. And the Nubians. And the Assyrians. And the Hittites. There arose hundreds of years of internal warfare against dozens of different groups...not to mention the struggles within the divine families themselves.

If God had wanted His man on the throne, you’d think he would have done more to help him. Or at least you’d think he would have been a little clearer about who His man was. Why let people guess and rumble, trying to decide who really is God’s choice? But who can figure the mind of God? Maybe the whole divinity hypothesis was just a lie. Maybe God liked to see His man get a workout. We can’t know.

Pharaohs may have lived like lords. They may have governed like gods. But they died just like everyone else. And after the 30 dynasties, as counted by Menes, the whole system was kaput. Cleopatra Ptlolemy got herself rolled up in a carpet so she could spin out at the feet of Julius Caesar. She had a child by him...but then went over to Marc Antony’s side. That proved a mistake. Caesar’s nephew, Octavian, was better organized and a shrewder politician. Antony’s army was beaten at Actium.

But the idea of a divine ruler survived. Antony had already begun to feel the blood of divinity pumping in his veins when Octavian cornered him. His omniscience failed. Thinking Cleopatra was dead, he stabbed himself to death. Then, hardly had the half-god pharaohs gone to their graves in Egypt than the half-mad Caesars in Rome started to sprout wings...

You may have doubts about the divinity of the Pharaohs. Certainly, either the Egyptians had some doubts themselves, or they were among the most impious people who ever lived. Pharaoh was supposed to be a god. He was supposed to be in charge of everything, even the annual flooding of the Nile, the weather...life, death, you name it. But that didn’t stop him from getting the old heave-ho from time to time. Rival groups didn’t wait for God to decide who would sit on the throne. Men fought it out.

We don’t have any way of knowing about the pharaohs’ divine bona fides. But as a theory of government, it does the job. Government claims the right to tell you what to do. Using the blunt instrument of ‘government’ some people are able to direct the energy of a whole society to where they want it to go — categorizing, regulating, taxing, inspecting, dragooning, conscripting, enslaving, bullying, incarcerating, murdering and pushing around other people.

There must be at least 10,000 commandments we Americans are expected to obey. The IRS code probably has that many alone. We cannot build a house or cash a check without fulfilling hundreds of (often invisible) requirements. We pass through an airport and we submit to indignities, usually without question. We know the TSA agent is a moron. But “dress’d in a little brief authority,” as Shakespeare put it, “most ignorant of what he’s most assur d, glassy essence, like an angry ape, plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven, as make the angels weep.”

For the two thousand years of the 30 dynasties, men killed each other to determine who would hold the pharaonic power. The last of them was clearly an interloper. The Ptolemies weren’t even Egyptian. They were Greeks, who conquered Egypt with Alexander. Then, finally, Julius Caesar and his nephew Octavian put an end to the divine tradition in Egypt forever. God either abandoned His man on the Nile, or he is playing tricks with us.

Caesar took the role of emperor of the whole Roman world. He did not seem to be too concerned about the theory of it. People bowed to him and paid tribute. That was how an empire worked. And he never had too much time to think about it anyway. He was cut down on the Ides of March at the age of 55 in 44 BC.

But the appeal of divinity did not die with the Ptolemies. Four score years after Cleopatra’s death the emperor Caligula declared that he was a god. This didn’t seem to take him very far. Romans came to the conclusion that he was not divine at all, but insane. He was murdered soon after by his own guards.

Rome struggled on for another 4 centuries. If there was a theory to dignify one man’s bending to another we aren’t aware of it. It was considered normal and natural. Those who got control of the government of Rome were able to exercise the rights of governors. They were victors on the field of battle...and in the halls and assemblies of Roman government.

What did they do with this power? “Ad victorem spolias.” Simple enough. You defeat someone. You take his stuff. His land. His wife. His children. At least there was no humbug about it. And the rules were simple. Government operated its naked form. As Mao described it two millennia later, political power came “from the barrel of a gun,” not from the Rights of Man or the Social Contract.

In the exploits of Genghis Khan and Tamerlane, too, we find a very pure form of government at work...and a very clear theory about it. Genghis announced his theory of government as follows:

“Man’s greatest good fortune is to chase and defeat his enemy, seize his total possessions, leave his married women weeping and wailing, ride his gelding, use his women as a nightshirt and support, gazing upon and kissing their rosy breasts, sucking their lips which are as sweet as the berries of their breasts.”

Tamerlane was no less direct. He saw government as a legitimate enterprise. He raised troops with the intention of conquering other peoples and replacing their governments with his own. His warriors were paid in booty — jewels, coins, horses, women, and furs. He was paid in loot, tribute and taxes.

This is not to say that there was anything wrong with running a government in such a way. We are not giving advice or making suggestions. We are just trying to understand the essence of what government is and how it careens to the downside.

Regards,

Bill Bonner
for The Daily Reckoning

Thanksgiving lets do it!

Lets give thanks that we know what is going on.

1) we watch ZERO TV
2) we watch charts
3) we understand human nature
4) we know that easy money has created the mother of all bubbles
5) we know that China is now a "playa" but they are a communist centrally controlled country where corruption is rampant, and everyone plays business like waterpolo....an underwater kick to the kidneys is considered legal as long as you dont get cited. 
 6) The Euro was created to allow power consolidation in Europe
7) The fiscal cliff is a marketing scam to ease people into the idea that you are now about to be effed. 
8) We have an apple pie recipe to kill for, but prefer to give it out for free so we don't get killed.

And we can get a 23 pound free Turkey at Safeway for buying $100 of stuff we need anyway.

Actually, we are cooking 4 turkeys this week....all at great prices, great food for human and dog.  

1 Kilo of free silver (2.2 pounds)

http://www.independentlivingbullion.com/giveaway/free-silver-kilo-coin-giveaway.php

Here is another give away.    One catch, each person can only enter once, and they will market to you via email and maybe mail.

So use a "disposable" email address

One winner per month

I have bought from these people, and they are good, reliable, knowledgeable 

RULES

RULES FOR THE DRAWING.

1. Read and agree with these official Drawing Terms and Conditions. Submission of a registration for this drawing confirms your agreement with these Drawing terms.
2. By submitting an entry, entrant certifies that they are 18 years of age and willing to accept informative and promotional emails from Independent Living Bullion. Opting out of emails negates your eligibility for the drawing.
3. Except where legally prohibited, submission of any entry into this Drawing constitutes permission for the Independent Living Bullion to use the entrant's first name and last name on marketing materials for up to two years without any compensation.
4. NO PURCHASE NECESSARY TO ENTER OR WIN.
5. ONE SUBMISSION PER PERSON.
6. WINNER SELECTION and NOTIFICATION. One winner will be selected every month. The winner's first name, last initial, city and state of residence (if available) will be posted on www.independentlivingbullion.com as soon as he/she is selected. Winners will be contacted by email after each month's drawing within the first three days of the following month. So check your Independent Living Bullion emails to see if you're the winner!
7. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. Winners will need to provide their full name, address and social security number before they can accept the prize.
8. TAXES. Winners are solely responsible for all applicable taxes. Winners will be issued an IRS W1099 form at the end of the year.
9. Prizes are not negotiable and non-transferable and there is no cash equivalent.
10. Independent Living Bullion reserves the right to cancel the drawing at any time and/or make modifications to the rules and eligibility requirements. It is the responsibility of those entering the drawing to monitor this Rules section for any updates and/or modifications.
11. Eligible winners must be U.S. citizens and have a permanent residence or mailing address within the United States.

Junk Gold

Junk Gold, is considered to be old real currency coins which do not have collector value due to condition of the coin.   Alot of unscrupulous hucksters sell this stuff at whatever premium they can steal through a sales pitch.

Good deals involve premiums similar to modern US gold coins.

What is neat is that some of these are as low as .1209 ounce of gold, or a bit over $200 notionally speaking.    I'll post more on the availability of these coins, as I am doing my own due diligence at this time.     

The Following Historic Coins (at Bullion Prices) May Be Offered:
	From ILB Description	Years Minted
$2.50 Indian	(0.1209 oz of gold content)	1908-1915 & 1925-1929
$2.50 Liberty	(0.1209 oz of gold content)	1840-1907
$5 Liberty	(0.2419 oz of gold content)	Years Minted: 1839-1908
$5 Indian Head	(0.2419 oz of gold content)	Years Minted: 1908–1916, 1929
$10 Indian Head	(0.4838 oz of gold content)	Years Minted: 1907-1933
$10 Liberty	(0.4838 oz of gold content)	Years Minted: 1866-1907
$20 Liberty, aka "Double Eagle"	(0.9675 oz of gold content)	Years Minted: 1849-1907
$20 St. Gaudens	(0.9675 oz of gold content)	Years Minted: 1907-1933

http://goldprice.org/Calculators/Gold-Price-Calculators.html

Useful Link for calculations on Gold and Silver

Mother of all Boatloads of Charts

These charts are powerful speakers. However, the problem, is, they are conflicted.

Unqual Pay, Monkeys get pissed

Deflation -- The scary part of owning hard assets

Short video that cures people's fear of deflation that might be handy for you. Go to the 11:10 - 17:00 section of it and check it out. Once you get it you would not freak out over deflation any more.

Sunday Musings

It is not too often that I stumble across a new site that I think really adds value.    This Forbes site is one of them.   

 http://www.forbes.com/sites/michaelpollaro/2012/02/25/u-k-true-austrian-money-supply/2/

It is on my thinking alot, the money supply.   And how this will affect the price of things we need, food, housing, gold, energy.   Probably due to softness in the economy, the rate of inflation would be even higher, but one can see that at a 10% annual rate of increase in money (and Bennie confirming he will print at least $80B per month), that in about 7 years, the money supply would double.    In theory, that would make goods about double in price, although growth in the amount of goods available would probably influence that also.

Ron Paul's farewell Speech